confronti 2015 economia
A year with a strong currency – Ticino quo vadis?
The titles on IRE’s PanelCODE newsletter (www.panelcode.ch) mentioned below reflect the reaction of Ticino’s entrepreneurs to the abandonment of the fixed exchange rate as of January this year, passing from unresponsiveness, to shock, to pessimism, to cautious optimism:
February: "The positive trend in the number of jobs created continues."
March: "National GDP growth of 2% in 2014 confirmed, but the currency shock will produce a sharp slowdown in 2015."
May: "In the second quarter of 2015, the creation of new jobs in Ticino will slow down."
June: "Less vigorous growth expected nationwide, but the more negative scenarios can be excluded."
August: "Surprising creation of new jobs in Ticino: the employment increased by 1.6% in the second quarter of 2015 and unemployment reached record lows."
Based on this progression, confronti-economia 2015 will propose a detailed analysis of the current conditions of Ticino economy, opening to a discussion with researchers and professionals operating in the different production realities of our region.
The program will include a first part dedicated to presentations by IRE researchers, regarding world economic trends and the challenges and the opportunities that this conditions generate for Ticino economy. The event will continue with a panel discussion made up of institutional and economic operators.
Programme
| 08h00 - 08h30 | Reception |
| 08h30 - 08h45 | Welcome and introduction
Rico Maggi, IRE Director |
| 08h45 - 09h05 | Trends and forecast of the Ticino economy
Davide Arioldi, Observatory of Economic Policy, IRE, USI |
| 09h05 - 09h25 | Labor market trends
Moreno Baruffini, Observatory of Labor Market, IRE, USI |
| 09h25 - 09h45 | The phenomenon of relocation
Federica Rossi, Observatory of Economic Policy, IRE, USI |
| 09h45 - 10h00 | Questions and answers |
| 10h00 - 10h30 | Coffee break |
| 10h30 - 11h00 | Strong Swiss franc, global trends, Switzerland and Ticino
Giovanni Barone-Adesi, IFin, USI |
| 11h00 - 12h30 |
Round Table: Ticino quo vadis?
Moderated by Alfonso Tuor, journalist and editor, expert of economy issues |
| 12h30 - 12h45 | Closing remarks
Rico Maggi, IRE Director |
| 12h45 | Buffet |
Reference documents
Presentations
Andamento e previsioni dell'economia ticinese - Davide Arioldi, Ricercatore Osservatorio delle Politiche economiche, IRE, USI
Tendenze nel mercato del lavoro - Moreno Baruffini, Responsabile Osservatorio del Mercato del lavoro, IRE, USI
Il fenomeno delle delocalizzazioni - Federica Rossi, Responsabile Osservatorio delle Politiche economiche, IRE, USI
Franco forte, trend mondiali, la Svizzera e il Ticino - Giovanni Barone-Adesi, IFin, USI
Review of the press
confronTi - Il Ticino regge al superfranco - Gian Luigi Trucco, Corriere del Ticino, 27 novembre 2015
"Annus horribilis?" Non per il Ticino - Corrado Bianchi Porro, Giornale del Popolo, 27 novembre 2015
Franco forte, un anno dopo - Generoso Chiaradonna, laRegione, 27 novembre 2015
Cambio Franco-Euro - Christian Romelli, Il Quotidiano, RSI, 26 novembre 2015
